projection
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projection
An estimate of a final result calculated on the basis of partial results or a sample. Especially common in elections, to predict the outcome before all votes have been counted.
Laut der ersten Hochrechnung liegt die Partei bei 32 Prozent.
According to the first projection, the party is at 32 percent.
The word consists of 'hoch' (up/high) and 'Rechnung' (calculation). The logic behind it is that you 'hoch rechnen' (extrapolate/calculate up) from a partial result to the final result.
Die erste Hochrechnung wird um 18:00 Uhr erwartet.
The first projection is expected at 6:00 p.m.
This word is almost always used in connection with elections. It describes the first projection of the election result on election night.
Alle warten gespannt auf die ersten Hochrechnungen aus den Wahllokalen.
Everyone is eagerly waiting for the first projections from the polling stations.
Common verbs used with 'Hochrechnung' (projection) are 'erstellen' (to create/produce), 'veröffentlichen' (to publish), and 'zeigen' (to show).
Die Hochrechnungen zeigen einen klaren Trend.
The projections show a clear trend.
prognosis / forecast
In elections, both die Prognose and die Hochrechnung predict a possible result. Die Prognose can be based on polls and other data collected before the votes are counted; die Hochrechnung is calculated from partial results already available or from a sample.
Die erste Hochrechnung nach der Auszählung einiger Bezirke sieht die Partei bei 29 Prozent.
The first projection after votes from several districts had been counted puts the party at 29 percent.
Die Prognose vor der Auszählung sieht die Partei bei 28 Prozent.
The forecast before the votes are counted puts the party at 28 percent.
