01
die Prognose
forecast
A prediction about the future development of something, based on data, analyses, or experience.
example
Die wirtschaftliche Prognose für das nächste Jahr ist positiv.
The economic forecast for next year is positive.
die Prognose
prognosis / forecast
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Meanings
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Usage tips
Typical verbs
A prognosis or forecast is typically 'gestellt' (made/given) or 'abgegeben' (issued/given). Later, a prognosis can 'sich bestätigen' (be confirmed) or turn out to be wrong.
EXAMPLE
Experten stellen eine positive Prognose für die Wirtschaft.
Experts are making a positive forecast for the economy.
Typical adjectives
To evaluate a prognosis or forecast, adjectives such as 'gut' (good) or 'schlecht' (bad), 'positiv' (positive) or 'negativ' (negative), and 'optimistisch' (optimistic) or 'pessimistisch' (pessimistic) are often used.
EXAMPLE
Die erste Prognose war zu optimistisch und musste korrigiert werden.
The first forecast was too optimistic and had to be corrected.
Sentence structure with 'für'
To express what the prediction refers to, the preposition 'für' (for) with the accusative is usually used.
EXAMPLE
Die Prognose für das nächste Quartal sieht gut aus.
The forecast for the next quarter looks good.
Medical context clue
You can recognize the medical meaning from the context. Words such as 'Arzt' (doctor), 'Patient' (patient), 'Krankheit' (illness), or 'Heilungschancen' (chances of recovery) clearly point to a medical prognosis.
EXAMPLE
Der Arzt gab dem Patienten eine vorsichtige Prognose.
The doctor gave the patient a cautious prognosis.
Compare with
Prognose vs Tipp
tip / prediction
'der Tipp' and 'die Prognose' can both say something about the future. A 'Tipp' is often more personal, less certain, and especially common in sports or betting. 'Die Prognose' sounds more objective and is more likely to be based on data, analyses, or experience, for example in weather, economics, or medicine. Learners may confuse the words because both can be a prediction. As a practical rule: for a personal assessment, you are more likely to say 'Tipp'; for a specialist or well-founded prediction, 'Prognose' is more appropriate.
Prognose
Die Prognose zeigt, dass die Mieten in der Stadt weiter steigen könnten.
The forecast shows that rents in the city could continue to rise.
Tipp
Mein Tipp für das Spiel heute Abend ist ein 2:1 für Dortmund.
My prediction for the match tonight is a 2-1 win for Dortmund.
In real life
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